近年来，股市一直是备受关注的焦点话题。作为全球经济的晴雨表，股市对于投资者、企业和整个国家乃至世界都有着重要意义。然而，在这个看似光鲜亮丽的舞台上，总会存在各种不同观点和声音。其中一个热门话题就是围绕着某些被认为“准确”的观点。

在过去的时间里，“持续增长”一直被视作成功投资者必须具备并实践的理念之一。“趋势永远向上”，“只需坚定地抓住牛市行情即可获利”。这样单纯粗暴却貌似合理简洁明了的逻辑深受许多人钟爱，并成为他们参与股票交易时候信奉遵循之物。

但事实真相究竟如何呢？正当大部分人沉浸在此类思路中无法自拔时, 专业机构开始发出异议——其所谓“准确”的观点可能根本站不住脚！

首先我们需要厘清一个概念：历史数据仅代表过去发生事件，并不能完美预示未来走势；虽然技术分析可以揭示价格波动规律性或周期性特质等现象，但也容易使得操作盲目化甚至陷入僵局。

更进一步探寻内核问题，则能够找到诠释背后原因：所有形式金融活动皆源自经济基础以及政治环境条件限制影响下产生结果。“持续增长”论调是否符合当前宏观面态势？答案显而易见——否！尤其是在日渐复杂变幻万端极度风险敞口扩张外加供需错位导致全球主权货币体系岌岌可危状态下

除此之外，“持续增长”论调还隐藏了其他隐患：“捧场心态”、“非理性决策假设”，以及最常见错误类型— 近期收益率高则确认执行力道强（confirmationbias）等知名认知失误等漩涡将引领你我共勘摧残耳聪目明再次回归平静？

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